Chapter 4:
Conclusions and Predictions Stemming from this Study
The Context and Goals of the
Investigation
Public financing of elections is arguably the
most radical and far reaching election reform instituted in
the United States in the last thirty years. Although numerous
studies and analyses have examined public financing of elections
on the national level, the academic literature concerning the
more common and varied state public financing systems is surprisingly
sparse. As of the time of this study, there was not an up to
date and comprehensive database of the characteristics and histories
of state public financing measures. Accordingly, the first project
of this study was to establish such as database through the
synthesis of a variety of sources. This database containing
the profiles of all current state public financing systems is
a significant contribution to the existing literature and will
hopefully prove a useful resource for future researchers of
the subject. These historical characteristics are presented
in grid form in Addendum 1.
The major goal of this thesis was to explore the
questions of why public financing was adopted in certain states
at certain times and how it came to reach the agenda of the
policy makers of these states. The very breath of public financing
implementation is quite striking, and makes it especially difficult
to establish patterns among states. Nevertheless, factors ranging
from the political, cultural, and demographic characteristics
of states, to the political atmosphere surrounding public financing
adoption, to the intentions and strategies of the advocates
of public financing themselves were examined to isolate relevant
tendencies. A number of conclusions are evident, which may provide
insight into the future of state public financing of elections.
TOP
Clear Differences
Between Forms of Public Financing
One of the main determinations of the study is
that simple grant party public financing systems are different
in structure and intent from the candidate based partial and
full public financing systems. Both types of systems emerged
at the same time, and both may have originated partially from
the attention directed toward campaign practices by the Watergate
scandals. However, in addition to differences in structure,
simple grant public financing measures are typified by much
lower profile adoption methods and an entirely different set
of policy entrepreneurs. Furthermore, the states which have
adopted only simple grant public financing measures tend to
have starkly different characteristics from those which have
adopted more comprehensive systems. The evidence seems to indicate
that party public financing measures were mainly designed to
counter the slow decline of political party power with the onset
of televised candidate based campaigns. In contrast, candidate
public financing was largely intended to alter the structure
of campaigning in order to achieve a "public good’ and
to create more access into the political system.
TOP
Background Factors
Necessary for Election Reform to Reach the Agenda
Surveys and interviews confirm the conclusions
of pre-existing academic studies that significant differences
exist in state attitudes concerning citizen responsibility,
political morality, innovation, and government intervention.
The political culture most conducive to comprehensive public
financing is typified by Elazar’s moralistic archetype, which
Rice and Arnett would describe as high civic culture. The positive
conceptions of public service, fairness, and proactive behavior
which typify moralistic cultures often produce a progressive
populist sentiment among public officials in these states. These
values make legislators more willing to consider government
reforms even in the face of only minor or indirect galvanizing
events. Furthermore, the diffusion of moralistic culture throughout
the population often may lead to stronger public interest groups,
which universally play an important entrepreneurial role in
reform policy generation. Thus, in these states an alliance
between public interest groups and concerned lawmakers often
combine the policy development, agenda determination, alternative
specification, and decision-making roles in promoting public
financing legislation. The most obvious illustration of pure
moralistic culture is shown in the case study of Minnesota and
Wisconsin above.
If Elazar is to be believed, moralistic culture
was originally introduced and spread in America by Puritans
and other Northern Europeans. Significant evidence from Lieske
and other studies seems to indicate that the original culture
of a region exercises a strong assimilating power over subsequent
immigrants. Thus, elements of moralistic culture seem to have
remained present even in areas where the original moralistic
inhabitants have been numerically overwhelmed by settlers from
other cultural backgrounds. In these states, the high priority
placed on equality and government accountability has combined
with a positive view of government intervention in society to
create a fertile breeding ground for public financing legislation.
It is notable that race seems to trump ethnicity
in determining the political culture of American states. States
with large minority populations tend to have very low levels
of democratization, civic culture, and public financing adoption
even when they were originally populated by Northern European
settlers. In these bifurcated states, racial tensions may polarize
political dialogue to such a degree that public financing and
most other election reform measures are distrusted by the white
majority because of their potential to empower the traditionally
disenfranchised minority population.
TOP
Events and Actions
Required for Election Reform to Reach the Agenda
Even in states with political cultures conducive
to consideration of political reforms, a series of circumstances
and behaviors frequently must occur for election reform to reach
the agenda of state policy makers. In the most common legislative
scenario, election and government reform is first brought to
the agenda of elected officials by negative media attention
generated by specific focusing events, such as state corruption
scandals. Once these events create windows of opportunity, a
specific handful of public interest groups play an integral
role in the alternative specification period by promoting pre-existing
public financing proposals as a solution to the problem highlighted
by the scandal, even if the connection is not readily apparent.
Public interest groups support public financing
legislation for a variety of reasons. Some, such as the League
of Women Voters and Common Cause, believe that the reduction
in campaign spending which public financing allows would be
a positive development in and of itself. Other organizations,
such as economic justice coalitions, civil rights groups, and
labor unions, give their support because of the greater access
to the political system public financing may provide for less
wealthy candidates. This emphasis on political equality, may
be an end in itself for many of these organizations. However,
public financing systems also undoubtedly hold the promise of
greater influence for many of the supporters of these more progressive
groups. During the decision-making phase of policy generation,
public interest groups with positive name recognition are sometimes
able to parlay their support into significant political capital.
However, in most states public financing is only passed if it
appeals to the sensibilities of legislative leadership or enjoys
some over-riding political or institutional logic within the
context of that state’s politics.
The existence of statutory citizen ballot initiatives
in certain states also can play a distinctive structural role
in determining the circumstances through which public financing
reaches the political agenda. In the 1990’s, coalitions of progressive
groups have shown that the ballot initiative process can be
used to institute far more comprehensive public financing systems
than even progressively moralistic legislatures had previously
adopted. In these situations, the policy entrepreneur function
is generally played by a specific organization or small set
of associations, which then successfully convince a larger group
of organizations of the utility of the public financing proposal.
TOP
Factors That Cause
Public Financing to be Chosen Over Other Reform Alternatives
Strikingly, implementation of candidate based
public financing through legislative channels is clearly linked
to Democratic Party control of state legislatures. As shown
in Chapter 3, the reasons for Democratic adoption of public
financing vary greatly across states and include moralistic
ideals of government, rational institutional reform, and even
occasional calculations of partisan advantage. However, Chapter
2 demonstrates that the Democratic Parties which implement public
financing systems tend to be among the more liberal in the country.
Thus, an underlying willingness to use government intervention
to secure whatever goals are desired appears necessary for public
financing to become a viable alternative even once election
reform has reached the agenda. As discussed at the end of Chapter
2, significant evidence suggests that Democratic liberalism
may be tied to high levels of white ethnic diversity and urbanization.
Unlike more self-sufficient rural populations, the inhabitants
of areas with high population densities and diversities often
have come to really on their government as an important mediating
force which generates important policies concerning infrastructure,
safety, and economic security. This, may account for the increased
acceptance which citizens of populous, ethnically diverse states
seem to show for the interventionist policies integral to public
financing systems.
In states which have recently experienced significant
scandals, the key to the adoption of public financing often
lies in the ability of public interest groups to tie public
financing adoption to improved public perception of elected
officials. In many of these cases, public interest groups are
able to accomplish this association, even when public financing
of elections does not directly address the systemic problems
uncovered by the blossoming scandal.
Consideration of public financing systems over
less expensive alternatives such as disclosure laws and contribution
limits also requires a significant budgetary base, which usually
corresponds with high levels of socioeconomic development in
addition to economic cycles. As an example, the virtual explosion
of full public financing systems and municipal partial public
financing systems during the later 1990’s seems to indicate
a correspondence between public financing and rising budgetary
resources.
Within statutory initiative campaigns, adoption
of public financing systems requires convincing the population
as a whole of their utility. Since opponents are often able
to mobilize significant monetary resources against the measures,
success in ballot measure campaigns seems to be tide to the
breadth of supporting coalitions, and not simply the political
culture of states. However, even widely supported ballot measures
stand a much greater chance of success if they are structured
to appeal to the cultural values of their respective populations.
A well-scripted 1998 "Clean Elections" ballot measure
succeeded in Arizona, which has dominant traditionalistic culture
and a large minority of Hispanic immigrants. However, in 2000,
similar measures with smaller coalitions failed in Missouri
and, interestingly, Oregon—a purely moralistic state with a
homogeneous population.
TOP
The Future of State
Public Financing
The main goal of this thesis has been to uncover
of the origins of public financing adoption through an examination
of the cultural proclivities, societal characteristics, historical
trends, and individual stories of the states that have implemented
public financing of elections. The findings which have been
presented do not purport to forecast where, when, or in what
form public financing may be implemented in the future. However,
considering the many striking correspondences that have been
uncovered, it may be useful to briefly advance some insights
which this historical examination may provide concerning the
future of state public financing of elections.
Historical trends indicate that implementation
of new simple grant party financing has trailed off as party
fundraising has increased during the 1990’s. This trend should
not be significantly affected by the recently signed McCain-Feingold
Law, since it includes a provision allowing state political
parties to continue to raise significant soft money. [236]
In contrast to simple grant measures, the 1990’s
saw a significant growth state full and municipal partial public
financing systems implemented by ballot measures and other non-traditional
means. The generally liberal and interventionist nature of many
city governments indicates that municipal public financing may
continue to expand, though the success of advocates in the late
1990’s may be closely tied to the fiscal boost bequeathed to
normally stretched city budgets by a strong economy.
The continued spread of full public financing
systems looks unlikely in the short term. Except for a small
system for gubernatorial elections in Vermont, full public financing
advocates have not demonstrated they can secure passage of "Clean
Money" measures through state legislatures. Continued reliance
on ballot measures would restrict the pool for adoption of public
financing to a group of generally conservative states west of
the Mississippi River. Furthermore, the failure of ballot initiatives
in Missouri and Oregon must give full public financing advocates
pause before they launch campaigns in the remaining liberal
moralistic states of California and Washington.
In the end, the public financing archetype with
the greatest chance of continued adoption seems to be statewide
partial public financing provisions developed over time by a
wide coalition of public interest groups and promoted through
the traditional legislative route during periods of scandal
and Democratic Party dominance. In the past, a rough alliance
of state chapters of Common Cause and the League of Women Voters
often proven sufficient to secure passage of public financing
legislation. However, in the 1990’s a significant number of
Common Cause state chapters have reduced their activity as the
larger Common Cause organization has subtly hit a membership
plateau. The League of Women Voters, though a powerful coalition
partner, has rarely taken the lead in developing and lobbying
for public financing legislation.
Thus, it would seem that future partial public
financing measures may only result from the formation of wider
coalitions, which encompass larger numbers of progressive groups,
roughly on the model of the successful 1996 Maine ballot measure
coalition. In addition, legislators seem to be much more willing
to approve public financing for statewide candidates than for
their own races. Only four legislative public financing systems
have been approved by state legislatures, and only one—a very
limited system in Nebraska—has been adopted since the 1970’s.[237]
Finally, moralistic attitudes which include a
positive view of government intervention make public financing
implementation far more likely. This positive view of government
innovation does not need to characterize all levels of society,
as can be seen by the success of public financing proposals
in Florida and Arizona. However, it must be present in some
significant way among politically mobilized elements of the
population or the political elite.
States which may provide promising arenas for
future partial public financing adoption include California,
Connecticut, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, and Washington.
In addition, systems in Maryland, Vermont, and Wisconsin may
need to be significantly reformed to ensure their continued
effectiveness. However, if historical patterns repeat themselves,
the rapidly rising Hispanic populations in many of these states
may inspire racial and cultural tensions which may prove an
obstacle to progressive coalition building by polarizing the
political spectrum of these states.
The effects of public financing systems, are beyond
the scope of this study. However, the real key to the future
of public financing likely lies in the consensus which develops
concerning the success of current systems. In surveys and interviews,
reform advocates in Arizona, Florida, Maine, Minnesota, Nebraska,
and Rhode Island reported being very satisfied with their systems,
while reformers in Hawaii, Maryland, Michigan, Wisconsin, and
Vermont seemed less enthusiastic. Undoubtedly, the best predictor
of whether comprehensive public financing will continue to expand
in states and localities, and whether it has any chance of being
adopted on a national level, is the ability of systems presently
in place to achieve their wide-ranging goals while maintaining
the support of the politicians who are their major constituents.
Very few studies have profiled the effects of
state public financing systems. Hopefully, this thesis will
aid these explorations through its discovery of significant
patterns of characteristics common among states adopting comprehensive
public financing measures. In addition, this thesis may assist
future inquiries by defining the goals and intentions of the
politicians and activists who implemented public financing systems
in the first place. The jury may still be out on the ultimate
effectiveness of public financing measures. However, state attempts
to provide public funds for political campaigns are arguably
the most significant political reform instituted during the
preceding three decades. Thus, for the good of our democracy,
one can only hope that future years will witness an increase
in academic studies examining the utility of public financing
of elections.
TOP
Proceed to
Addendum 1:
A
Comprehensive Database of State Public Financing Systems
|